Economics of AI
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Think clearly about AI's economic impact

The standard models break down when applied to AI — this course shows you exactly where, why, and what rigorous alternatives look like. Built for economists, strategists, and analysts who want real frameworks, not forecasts dressed up as facts.

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Economics of AI

"The most useful thing I can teach you isn't a forecast — it's the discipline to know when a forecast is premature, and the frameworks to build a better one when the evidence is ready."

Val (Valdas) Samonis

What you'll learn

What you'll be able to do

  • Evaluate which classical and neoclassical economic models apply to AI — and where each one breaks down
  • Explain why AI challenges standard assumptions about labor, capital, and productivity growth
  • Apply frontier frameworks (ideas economics, general-purpose technology theory, superstar firm models) to real AI case studies
  • Critically assess AI productivity paradox claims using empirical evidence and data
  • Construct a defensible economic forecast for a specific industry being disrupted by AI
  • Identify the key open questions in AI economics and locate the primary literature debating them

How it works

A school that adapts to you

This isn't a set of static videos. Every lesson is generated live and tuned to where you actually are.

We learn your level

A quick placement check tailors your starting point so you're never bored or lost.

Lessons adapt as you go

Each lesson is written for your pace and your goal, adjusting as your skills grow.

Your AI coach keeps you moving

Checkpoints, feedback, and gentle nudges turn progress into a real result.

The curriculum

What's inside your school

6 modules · 29 lessons

1

Why Standard Economic Models Struggle with AI

Diagnoses the core structural features of AI that cause classical and neoclassical frameworks to misfire.

  • 1.1The Promise and the Problem: AI Through an Economist's LensIncluded
  • 1.2Classical and Neoclassical BaselinesIncluded
  • 1.3What Makes AI Economically Unusual: Non-Rivalry, Near-Zero Marginal Cost, and Prediction as InputIncluded
  • 1.4Where Each Model Breaks Down: A Diagnostic MapIncluded
2

AI, Labor, and Capital: Rethinking Factor Markets

Examines how AI disrupts standard accounts of labor substitution, capital accumulation, and the functional income distribution.

  • 2.1Automation vs. Augmentation: Framing the Labor Question CorrectlyIncluded
  • 2.2The Task Model of Labor and Its AI ExtensionsIncluded
  • 2.3Capital in the Age of Intangibles: What AI Does to Investment TheoryIncluded
  • 2.4Wage Polarization, Skill Premiums, and the Empirical RecordIncluded
  • 2.5Ownership, Rents, and the Capital-Labor SplitIncluded
3

Productivity, Growth, and the AI Paradox

Rigorously examines why AI has not yet produced the measured productivity surge standard growth theory predicts.

  • 3.1The Productivity Paradox: History, Data, and the Solow Computer QuipIncluded
  • 3.2General-Purpose Technology Theory and Why Lags Are ExpectedIncluded
  • 3.3Measurement Problems: Are We Counting AI's Output Correctly?Included
  • 3.4Reading the Empirical Literature: What Studies Actually ShowIncluded
  • 3.5Constructing and Stress-Testing an AI Productivity ForecastIncluded
4

Frontier Frameworks: Better Models for AI Economics

Introduces and applies the most promising non-standard economic frameworks developed to explain AI-era dynamics.

  • 4.1Ideas Economics: Romer, Nonrivalry, and the Returns to KnowledgeIncluded
  • 4.2Superstar Firms and Winner-Take-Most MarketsIncluded
  • 4.3Platform Economics, Data Network Effects, and Competitive MoatsIncluded
  • 4.4Aghion-Howitt and Creative Destruction in AI-Disrupted IndustriesIncluded
  • 4.5Combining Frameworks: Building a Hybrid Analytical ToolkitIncluded
5

Applied Case Studies: Forecasting Industry Disruption

Puts the toolkit to work on real sectors, building the skill of constructing defensible, evidence-based economic forecasts.

  • 5.1Case Method for AI Economics: How to Structure a Sector AnalysisIncluded
  • 5.2Case Study — Healthcare: Prediction Machines Meet Highly Regulated MarketsIncluded
  • 5.3Case Study — Financial Services: Automation, Incumbents, and Barriers to EntryIncluded
  • 5.4Case Study — Knowledge Work and Professional ServicesIncluded
  • 5.5Build Your Own Forecast: Constructing a Defensible Industry ScenarioIncluded
6

Open Questions, Policy Frontiers, and the State of the Field

Maps the genuinely unresolved debates in AI economics and equips students to engage the primary literature independently.

  • 6.1What Economics Still Cannot Answer About AIIncluded
  • 6.2The Policy Design Problem: Acting Under Genuine UncertaintyIncluded
  • 6.3Antitrust, Data Governance, and Competition Policy for AI MarketsIncluded
  • 6.4Navigating the Primary Literature: Key Journals, Debates, and Research Fault LinesIncluded
  • 6.5Intellectual Honesty in AI Economics: Separating Signal from NarrativeIncluded

Who it's for

Is this you?

Economists & researchers

Wants to engage seriously with frontier frameworks — Romer, Aghion-Howitt, GPT theory — and locate the live debates in the primary literature rather than reading about them second-hand.

Policy analysts

Needs defensible economic reasoning behind AI policy positions — on antitrust, data governance, and competition — that holds up under scrutiny from skeptical colleagues.

Tech strategists

Understands the technology but wants rigorous economic models — winner-take-most dynamics, data network effects, moat analysis — to make competitive strategy arguments that go beyond intuition.

MBA graduates

Has the microeconomic foundations and wants to apply them seriously to AI disruption — including sector-level forecasting — rather than relying on consultant frameworks and buzzwords.

Industry analysts

Covers AI-disrupted sectors like healthcare or financial services and needs a structured case method for economic analysis that produces defensible, evidence-grounded conclusions.

Intellectually serious generalists

Reads widely on economics and technology and is frustrated by hype — wants a course that respects their intelligence and tells them honestly what the field does and doesn't yet know.

Questions

Frequently asked

Your teacher

A note from your teacher

Val (Valdas) Samonis

Val (Valdas) Samonis

If you've sat through an AI economics presentation and found yourself quietly noting that the speaker just assumed away the most interesting problems — you're in the right place!

The economics of AI is genuinely hard. Not because the data is sparse (though sometimes it is), and not because the technology is too new to analyze (we have decades of productivity and labor data to work with), but because the standard frameworks economists reach for were built for a different kind of good. When something is non-rival — when my use of it doesn't diminish yours — standard production theory starts to creak. When marginal cost approaches zero, competition models behave strangely. When a technology functions primarily as a prediction input that augments human tasks rather than simply replacing them, the automation-versus-labor framing most people use gets the question wrong from the start. These aren't small technical footnotes. They're foundational issues that reshape what the analysis looks like.

What I've built here is the course I kept wishing existed: one that takes the standard models seriously enough to show precisely where they break down, then works carefully through the frontier frameworks that researchers are actually using — ideas economics, general-purpose technology theory, superstar firm models, platform and data network effects, Schumpeterian creative destruction — and applies them to real empirical literature and real industries. We don't pretend the productivity paradox is resolved. We don't pretend the labor effects are settled. We do develop a rigorous terminology for thinking about both, so you can engage with the primary literature and the live debates rather than just receiving secondhand summaries of them.

The policy and strategy implications follow from the frameworks — not the other way around. Too much AI economics commentary starts with a conclusion and works backward. This course does the opposite: it builds the analytical foundation first and earns whatever conclusions follow. That means being explicit about what the evidence shows, what it doesn't show, and what we genuinely don't know yet. I think that kind of intellectual honesty is more useful to you, in the long run, than confident-sounding answers to questions that aren't yet closed.

If you're an economist, policy analyst, strategist, or intellectually serious professional who wants to think about AI's economic impact without relying on hand-waving — I built this for you. Come in with your skepticism intact. You'll need it, and we'll put it to work.

Val (Valdas) Samonis

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  • 6 modules, 29 lessons
  • AI-adaptive lessons tuned to your level
  • Quizzes & checkpoints to lock in progress
  • Your own AI learning coach
  • Learn on any device, at your pace
  • Full access for as long as you're subscribed