The Luddite Fallacy
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Think Clearly When Everyone Else Is Panicking About Technology!

A rigorous, evidence-first course that arms policy thinkers, economists, managers, and journalists with a two-century historical record — so you can cut through tech-and-jobs hysteria with arguments that actually hold up under scrutiny.

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The Luddite Fallacy

"I don't want to tell you what to think about AI and jobs — I want to give you the historical record and the analytical theory cum praxis tools to stop being fooled by either side of the argument."

— Val (Valdas) Samonis

What you'll learn

What you'll be able to do

  • Identify and dismantle the core logical fallacies underpinning Luddite-style arguments across different eras of technological disruption
  • Trace the empirical employment and wage record from the original 1811–1816 Luddite uprisings through the automation panics of the 20th and 21st centuries
  • Apply an experiential case-study method — placing yourself inside specific historical episodes — to stress-test received narratives about technology and economic harm
  • Distinguish between short-run displacement costs and long-run structural adjustment, and explain why conflating them produces persistent policy errors
  • Evaluate contemporary AI, robotics, and platform-economy debates using frameworks drawn from comparative technological history
  • Construct a structured, evidence-based argument that cuts through media and political noise on any new technology-versus-jobs controversy

How it works

A school that adapts to you

This isn't a set of static videos. Every lesson is generated live and tuned to where you actually are.

We learn your level

A quick placement check tailors your starting point so you're never bored or lost.

Lessons adapt as you go

Each lesson is written for your pace and your goal, adjusting as your skills grow.

Your AI coach keeps you moving

Checkpoints, feedback, and gentle nudges turn progress into a real result.

The curriculum

What's inside your school

6 modules · 25 lessons

1

The Anatomy of a Fallacy: Why Smart People Fear Machines

Establishes the intellectual scaffolding — what a fallacy is, why technology-and-jobs claims are uniquely prone to them, and how to read economic evidence critically.

  • 1.1What Is the Luddite Fallacy — and Why Does It Keep Returning?Included
  • 1.2The Fallacy Toolkit: Lump-of-Labor, Fixed-Pie Thinking, and Naturalistic PanicIncluded
  • 1.3How to Read an Economic Claim: Evidence, Narrative, and the Gap Between ThemIncluded
  • 1.4The Experiential Case-Study Method: Placing Yourself Inside the MomentIncluded
2

The Original Luddites: England 1811–1816 — Inside the Breaking Point

Puts students inside the original Luddite uprisings to separate the genuine economic grievances of skilled textile workers from the mythologized anti-technology narrative.

  • 2.1You Are a Nottingham Framework Knitter, 1811: The World Before the FramesIncluded
  • 2.2What the Luddites Actually Wanted: Wages, Regulation, and Political PowerIncluded
  • 2.3The Employment Record: What Happened to Jobs and Wages in the Textile Regions?Included
  • 2.4The Long Run Arrives: How the Industrial Revolution Created More Work Than It DestroyedIncluded
3

Automation Panics of the 20th Century: The Fallacy Repeats

Traces the same fear-cycle through three distinct 20th-century disruption episodes — mechanized agriculture, electrification, and the computerization scare — to reveal the fallacy's recurring structure.

  • 3.1The 1930s Technocracy Movement: When Machines Were Blamed for the DepressionIncluded
  • 3.2You Are a UAW Shop Steward, Detroit 1960: The Automation HearingsIncluded
  • 3.3The 'Computers Will Destroy White-Collar Work' Panic, 1970s–1980sIncluded
  • 3.4Short-Run Pain, Long-Run Gain: Modeling the Adjustment Gap Without Dismissing ItIncluded
4

Globalization, Offshoring, and the 'Race to the Bottom' Variant

Examines how Luddite-fallacy logic migrated from machines to trade, showing how offshoring fears repeated the same analytical errors with new vocabulary.

  • 4.1From Machines to Mexico: How the Fallacy Adapted to Trade RhetoricIncluded
  • 4.2You Are a Policy Advisor, Washington D.C., 1993: Should Congress Pass NAFTA?Included
  • 4.3What the Trade Data Actually Showed: The China Shock and Its LessonsIncluded
  • 4.4Distinguishing Legitimate Distributional Concerns from Fallacious Total-Employment ClaimsIncluded
5

The 21st-Century Panic: Robots, AI, and the 'This Time Is Different' Claim

Subjects contemporary AI and robotics disruption claims to the same empirical and logical scrutiny applied to every prior episode, while seriously engaging the strongest 'this time is different' arguments.

  • 5.1The Frey-Osborne Moment: When '47% of Jobs Are at Risk' Went ViralIncluded
  • 5.2You Are a Journalist, 2016: Your Editor Wants a Robot-Apocalypse Cover StoryIncluded
  • 5.3Platform Economics, Gig Work, and the Precarity NarrativeIncluded
  • 5.4Taking 'This Time Is Different' Seriously: What Would Genuine Technological Unemployment Look Like?Included
  • 5.5The Productivity Paradox: Why Automation Optimism Has Its Own Evidentiary ProblemsIncluded
6

Building Your Own Argument: A Framework for Any Future Disruption

Synthesizes the course into a portable, structured analytical framework students can apply immediately to any new technology-versus-jobs controversy.

  • 6.1The Disruption Diagnostic: A Five-Question Framework for Evaluating Any Tech-and-Jobs ClaimIncluded
  • 6.2Case Workshop: Apply the Framework to a Live ControversyIncluded
  • 6.3Communicating Under Pressure: Making Evidence-Based Arguments in Media and Policy ArenasIncluded
  • 6.4Capstone: Write the Brief That Cuts Through the NoiseIncluded

Who it's for

Is this you?

Policy economists

They advise on labor and technology legislation and need a rigorous historical framework that can survive peer scrutiny and political pressure.

Journalists & editors

They cover tech and the economy and want the analytical tools to interrogate viral studies — like the '47% of jobs at risk' moment — before hitting publish.

Strategy & ops managers

They're evaluating automation investments and need to separate evidence-based workforce planning from boardroom panic or naive techno-optimism.

Graduate students in economics or history

They're building a research foundation and want the comparative case-study method plus the empirical record across two centuries of technological disruption.

HR & workforce leaders

They're fielding employee anxiety about AI and robotics and want grounded, honest language that neither dismisses concerns nor amplifies unfounded panic.

Engaged intellectuals & policy readers

They're tired of both doom-loop rhetoric and Silicon Valley boosterism and want a serious, evidence-first framework they can actually use in public argument.

Questions

Frequently asked

Your teacher

A note from your teacher

Val (Valdas) Samonis

Val (Valdas) Samonis

If you work anywhere near the intersection of technology, economic growth, labor, and public argument, you already know the feeling. A new study drops — "X% of jobs at risk from automation" — and within 72 hours it's everywhere: op-eds, US Senate testimony, your LinkedIn feed, your board meeting, etc. And somewhere in the back of your mind, a quiet alarm goes off. Is this real? Is this the same thing we said about computers in 1980? How would I even know?

That alarm is the beginning of analytical honesty. This course is what you do with it.

I built The Luddite Fallacy because I kept watching smart, well-intentioned people — economists, journalists, policymakers, senior managers — make the same category errors under pressure. Not because they lacked intelligence, but because they'd never been given a structured theory cum praxis way to distinguish the recurring logical fallacies from the legitimate empirical concerns. The lump-of-labor assumption. Fixed-pie thinking. Naturalistic panic. These aren't obscure academic constructs. They're the operating system underneath nearly every technology-panic headline you'll read this year, and once you can name them, you can't un-see them.

The course takes you through two centuries of evidence — not to reassure you that everything always turns out fine (it doesn't, not for everyone, not evenly), but to give you the actual employment and wage record so you can reason from facts rather than from the narrative of the moment. We'll sit inside the 1811 Luddite uprisings, inside the 1960s automation hearings in Detroit, inside the NAFTA debate in Washington, inside a 2016 newsroom being asked to write a robot-apocalypse cover story. The experiential method is deliberate: the only way to develop genuine fallacy-spotting instincts is to practice reasoning under the same “incomplete-information” conditions the original actors faced.

I want to be direct about what this course is not. It is not a defense of any technology company or a dismissal of real displacement pain — the China Shock distributional evidence, for example, deserves far more serious treatment than it usually gets in optimist circles. And it is not a polemical brief for technological pessimism, either. It is an evidence-first discipline. The productivity paradox gets examined with the same rigor as the job-apocalypse studies. The goal is that you leave capable of applying that rigor yourself, to whatever controversy arrives next.

By the time you reach the capstone, you'll have a five-question Disruption Diagnostic, practice writing under pressure, and — perhaps most valuably — a durable habit of asking what would the evidence actually need to show for this claim to be true? That question is worth more than any single answer I could give you about any particular technology. It's the skill that compounds.

I'd be glad to have you in the room — or rather, in 1811, 1960, 1993, and 2016 before we get to the present.

— Val (Valdas) Samonis

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  • 6 modules, 25 lessons
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